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BLOG: June 2010 - December 2013

II - Mammography

10. X-ray mammography inaccuracy risks

2 good choices to prevent breast cancer

I - BREAST CANCER
 RISK FACTORS
  

II - SCREENING X-RAY MAMMOGRAPHY

III - ALTERNATIVE TESTS

The biggest risk factor
Risk factors overview
Times change

END OF A MYTH
The whistle
Contra-argument
Last decade
Current picture

 OTHER  X-RAY TESTS
Digital standard
Tomosynthesis
Breast CT

Predisposing factors
Diet       Other

BENEFIT
Earlier diagnosis
Fewer breast cancer deaths

Gamma-ray tests
BSGI/MBI 
PEM

INITIATING  FACTORS
Radiation
Chemicals
Viruses

RISK  &  HARM

OTHER  TESTS
Breast MRI
Ultrasound
Thermography
AMAS test

INACCURACY RISKS False negative
False positive
Overdiagnosis
PROMOTING  FACTORS
Hormonal

Non-hormonal

RADIATION

Radiation primer
Screen exposure
Radiation risk
PHYSICAL EXAM
Clinical
Self-exam

Higher all-cause mortality?

• Minimizing breast cancer risk

As anyone who saw them knows, mammographic images of breast tissue are all but clear. Layers of overlapping tissue structures are projected onto a 2-D film (or digital) detector and, sometimes, small abnormal tissue structures do not show, or are inconspicuous enough to remain undetected. In such case, test result is called false negative, i.e. does not detect an existing, objectively detectable malignant tissue growth.

Obviously, the consequence is that the missed breast cancer (BC) gets detected at a latter time, and at a more advanced stage.

On the other hand, often times what does appear to be a suspicious spot on the mammogram turns out to be a false alarm. Such test result is called false positive. The consequences are stress and additional test, or tests required.

However, not all false positive test results are corrected at the additional testing. It's been found that breast cancer incidence rates are consistently higher in screened populations than in those not screened, that are comparable with respect to the risk of developing breast cancer. The only explanation for this data is that a portion of the confirmed positive test results by screening mammography are so called pseudo disease, or quasi breast cancer: it appears to be abnormal, malignant growth, but would not have become symptomatic during woman's lifetime.

There are two consequences of this inaccuracy:

(1) an excess of diagnosed cancers that are actually pseudo disease, usually referred to as overdiagnosis, and

(2) correspondingly higher rate of unnecessary treatment, which is a part of mammography-related overtreatment.

Overdiagnosis is only in part caused by the inaccuracy of mammography. The test cannot differentiate between the actually malignant disease, and the one that is not. But sometimes it is also the limitation of the accessory tests used to confirm mammography result.

 By itself, overdiagnosis is undesirable for the same reason false positives are, and that is causing unnecessary stress to women labeled with breast cancer. But its consequences are much more serious, since such a woman never learns that what test detected as a malignant growth is, in effect, a benign one, which wouldn't have affected her in any way.

Inevitably, such woman takes on the entire burden of one that actually does have breast cancer, and that includes full-blown breast cancer treatment. This is not only unpleasant experience as any invasive treatment can be, it also can result in lasting damage to her health and wellbeing, such as disfigurement, or increased risk of heart-related death due to the negative effect of radiation therapy on cardiovascular system.

Following pages address in more detail the consequences of testing inaccuracy of the screening mammography - false negatives, false positive, overdiagnosis and overtreatment

 

IN THE NUTSHELL: X-RAY MAMMOGRAPHY INACCURACY RISKS

False negative risk (or rate):
FALSE NEGATIVES vs. ALL ACTUAL BC, 20-25%

False positive risk (or rate):
FALSE POSITIVES vs. TRUE NEGATIVES, 5-15%

Overdiagnosis risk (or rate):
ALL DIAGNOSED BC vs. ALL ACTUAL BC, 125%-150%
 

Related to the first two indicators of test accuracy are:

Sensitivity (odds of having existing BC test-detected):
TRUE POSITIVES VS. ALL ACTUAL BC, 30-90%

Specificity (odds of having true BC-free status test-confirmed):
TRUE NEGATIVES VS. ALL BC-FREE WOMEN, 85-95%
 

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